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FROM OUR AFFILIATE - ELEMENT FUNDING
WHAT WILL AFFECT MORTGAGE INTEREST RATES for the week of June 28th 2010?
There was a lot happening in Washington this past week, so how will all of these happenings impact us and home loan rates, which are near all-time lows?
The Fed decided to keep the Fed Funds Rate at 0.25%, and also reiterated in its Policy Statement that economic conditions warrant keeping the Fed Funds Rate low for an “extended period”. The Fed Funds rate is the lending rate banks charge each other for the use of overnight funds, and it is used as a base rate that many other lending rates are based on, for consumer and business loans.
The Fed has to time very carefully any action or even hints of action on raising the Fed Funds Rate. If the Fed raises the Fed Funds Rate too soon, it could slow economic activity and cause a "double dip" recession”, however, if the Fed waits too long to raise the Fed Funds Rate, inflation could result.
The economic data recently reported (such as the weak Jobs Report and other reports showing inflation is tame at present) as well as the ongoing issues in Europe helped the “extended period” language to survive through another Fed meeting.
Congress did not pass the extension of the Home Buyer Tax Credit. Note: This extension was only going to be for people who were under contract by the initial April 30th deadline, extending their June 30th closing deadline to September 30th. The extension was part of the larger Jobs Bill, which included State aid and an extension of unemployment benefits for people out of work more than six months and the extension of the National Flood Insurance Policy – and would have added $33B to the deficit. Meanwhile, the National Association of Realtors is saying that up to 30% of homes that went under contract by the April 30th deadline of the Homebuyer Tax Credit will likely not close by the current June 30th deadline.
Friday is Jobs Report Day. Last month’s Jobs Report showed 431,000 jobs created in May. While on the surface this seems positive, the number was below expectations and also was primarily made up of temporary census workers…who will once again join the ranks of the unemployed when the 2010 Census has been completed. The Unemployment Rate did drop from 9.9% to 9.7%, but overall May’s Jobs Report was disappointing.
Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve, while strong economic news normally has the opposite result.
FREDDIE MAC’s NATIONAL WEEKLY MORTGAGE INTEREST RATE SURVEY (Lagging Survey Data taken 06-24-10):
30 Year Fixed - 4.69% + .7dp
15 Year Fixed - 4.13% + .7dp
The path back to economic recovery will go through housing…………
For more information please call: Element Funding Robert Slaughter 239-777-3137
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